Game Over: Nadal and the Machine

Miami Masters 1000, Quarterfinals

Nadal d. Berdych, 6/2 3/6 6/3

After some encouraging early success, the tennis engineers – or ‘Tengineers’ – who are responsible for maintaining and upgrading Tomas Berdych have had a difficult time of it. There have been setbacks, but this is only to be expected. Following some very positive developments last year, there are indications that a breakthrough is not far off. Lest one feels inclined to question the endeavour, we have only to look at IBM’s eight year journey with Deep Blue – from concept to controversial victory over Garry Kasparov – to feel reassured that ultimate success is its own sweet reward. From a programming perspective I imagine tennis presents greater obstacles even than chess. For example, Deeper Blue, the machine that eventually overcame Kasparov, was capable of calculating up to twenty moves ahead. Berdych still struggles with one. To be fair, Deep Blue was tasked with little else, while Berdych also has to run, strike a tennis ball very hard and flat, and change facial expressions, sometime as often as twice in a minute.  But the Tengineers have been undaunted in their labours, and the signs are there that Project Berdych is back on track, notwithstanding a serious bug that halted progress in the second half of 2010.

After losing nineteen consecutive sets to Rafael Nadal, Berdych today took one, and could well have taken two if not for a unfortunate malfunction late in the piece. As in the famous series of matches against Kasparov, the Tengineers were permitted access to their charge between sets, in order to recalibrate as they saw fit. They saw very fit after a disastrous first set, and it proved decisive, as he swept through the second. However, at 3/4 in the third , Berdych began to exhibit strange behaviour – almost signs of free will, a ghost in the machine – and promptly suffered a meltdown. The Tengineers afterward declared that a faulty transistor was to blame, and that rumours of human interference (or personality) were patently false. Indeed, human interference was limited to Nadal, who had his shoulder seen to by the trainer several times. When the Mallorcan served three aces to escape 0-40 as the deciding set got under way, our faith in human fortitude was vindicated. For now.

Federer d. Simon, 3/0 ret.

The question was posed, as poor Gilles Simon was lustily booed from the stadium today, whether the crowd would have been less incensed if the Frenchman had called the whole thing off prior to appearing on court. Is a walkover preferable to a token effort? Having already endured a WTA match, it’s not like the crowd was getting a refund either way. Really, the question is beside the point. What the crowd wanted was for Simon to be fit and play a good match against Roger Federer, who is one of the guys that transcends the sport. Seeing Federer play is one of those arbitrary things people have on list of things to do before they die, like swimming with dolphins, or reading Ulysses. A tennis crowd is not terribly different from any other kind of mob, and similarly infantile in its moods. They were booing Simon because they were jacked off, and he was the clearest target.

The upshot is that Federer is through to his thirteenth consecutive semifinal, where he will play Nadal. Opinion is sharply divided as to whether a free ride through the quarters will prove a help or a hindrance. With Federer, especially these days, there’s just no way of knowing. Interviewed on court after his unexpectedly epic match against Simon back at the Australian Open, Federer half-joked that he hoped never to play Simon again. Well, someone up there likes him. Or maybe they don’t like Simon. Maybe they were in the crowd today, hooting smugly as the Frenchman ambled from the court.

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Vintage Stuff

Miami Masters 1000, Fourth Round

Federer d. Rochus, 6/3 6/1

‘This is looking like a mismatch, as though Rochus has brought a knife to a gunfight. Federer just has too much firepower.’ Robbie Koenig.

We don’t expect much from tennis commentary – and generally receive less – but we expect it to be right, and this was spot on. Roger Federer was in rare form, the kind that used to be common. Come what may as the clouds of seniority gather, it’s reassuring to know he can still put on displays like this. Play commenced a touch beyond 12:30am, and ended 52 minutes and 32 winners later, including a rare drop-lob off the frame. Federer and Olivier Rochus have played longer games of cards. In fact, they probably played a few tonight as they waited (and waited) to get onto court.

Despite the late hour, plenty of fans had remained in their seats, many having lapsed into comas as Sharapova’s earlier double-fault exhibition entered its fourth hour. Federer gave those who regained consciousness no reason to further regret their misfortune. It was vintage stuff, just like his opponent. Still whatever Rochus’s shortcomings – and being 5’5” and 30 are not advantages – he is a spry mover, and has built a laudable career around tenacity and the capacity to retrieve plenty of balls into awkward positions. But when you’re hitting those balls as well as Federer did tonight it hardly matters. And the conditions at night are slower.

Nevertheless, as a form guide, it is arguable just how useful this match is, particularly with sterner challenges ahead. Federer was magnificent, but a reasonable number of those winners would not have been winners against, say, Novak Djokovic, whose retrieval skills are frankly unparalleled. Will Federer be able to maintain this standard of aggression when it takes twelve shots to find the opening, rather than four or five? Can anyone?

Simon d. Tipsarevic, 4/6 7/6 6/2

He’ll get a practice run against Gilles Simon in the quarterfinals, who today pushed Janko Tipsarevic over the edge, and I use the term ‘push’ advisedly. For players of the attacking disposition, an extended tussle with Simon must feel like being beaten to death with feathers, especially on a surface as unhelpful as Miami’s. Tipsarevic could get balls past the Frenchman, but only after a thoughtfully constructed 16-stroke rally, and even then by aiming for the outside of the line. For a couple of sets, it worked, but then his patience ran out.

Berdych d. Mayer, 6/3 2/6 7/6

Fish d. del Potro, 7/5 7/6

I must confess to finding Tomas Berdych no less robotic now than the first time I saw him play, over six years ago, which confounds the usual process by which players gain personality as our intimacy with their sport increases. The first set today was played entirely on Berdych’s terms, meaning it was conducted almost exclusively via the enchanting medium of flat, hard baseline rallying. They were not attractive terms for Florian Mayer, who was frankly foolish to think he could beat Berdych at what he was programmed to do. In the second set, after a rain delay, Mayer came out with a new game-plan, one devised around his strengths, moving the Czech around, mixing up paces and lengths. The second set was entirely played on the German’s terms. So was the third, but he couldn’t find a break. Berdych took the tiebreak, and let out a mighty roar. It sounded almost human.

Mardy Fish occupies the other end of the personality spectrum, although his undeniable charm when away from the court does not excuse a tendency to behave like a thug whilst on it. He is very much in the Roddick-mould when it comes to browbeating the officials, and I wonder if they rehearsed any of their tirades back when they roomed together. Today Fish beat the resurgent Juan Martin del Potro, which pretty much everyone in the world is treating as an upset regardless of their respective rankings, including Fish: ‘It’s only a matter of time.  If you’re not in the top five in the world, you can just add a number to your ranking because he’s gonna be up there in no time.’ Eloquent, as always. Nonetheless, they are clearly good friends, which Fish discussed happily after the match, but which was already clear from their embrace at the net.

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A Real Mouth Opener

Miami Masters, Third Round

The commentary gem of the day arrived courtesy of the ever-reliable Jason Goodall: ‘For lovers of talent, it’s an eye-watering prospect!’ He was spruiking the up-coming clash between Alexandr Dolgopolov and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, whose skills are impressive, no question, though I couldn’t see what there was to get all weepy about. Sadly, by the time the talent entered the ill-lit stadium, Goodall was no longer around to explain himself. The best stream I could find featured a commentator I once described as ‘Ray Romano hosed down with boring’, mainly because I don’t know his name. I’ve since endured his stylings a number of times across several tournaments. Shunning – or shunned by – company, he invariably flies solo, which is a shame. Lacking the capacity for tonal variation, he could really do with a booth-partner, provided it wasn’t actually Ray Romano. As it was, it felt like the call was being phoned in by Manny the Mammoth, and was primarily composed of an extensive recount of each player’s results for the last six months. It wasn’t eye-watering, but it was mouth-opening, insofar as it provoked an escalating series of yawns.

To be fair, the tennis wasn’t helping. There’s no doubting Dolgopolov and Tsonga are talented, but so was Andrew Ilie. Unless they’re executing they can frankly look poor. Neither could find his timing early on, and the Ukrainian’s passes on the backhand side were perpetually spraying wide, so I suppose it is to Tsonga’s credit that he largely directed his approaches there. When he didn’t, he got scorched. The rain arrived at 4/4, and everyone got wet, so I suppose Goodall was somewhat vindicated. Dolgopolov broke quickly once play resumed, but apparently didn’t care for it, and broke himself back even more quickly. Tsonga won the tiebreak, but lost the second set. Rain again intervened, and they’re currently locked on serve in the third, due to complete their night match in the apocalyptic haze around lunchtime tomorrow. The victor’s reward will be a shot at Rafael Nadal about sixteen minutes later. I expect a close one.

Rochus d. Youzhny, 1/6 6/3 6/3

Speaking of which, is it just me or is rather too much made of the conditions in Miami? Today in Melbourne it was 27C and about 82% humidity: a gorgeous Autumn day. Meanwhile in Miami it was (apparently) 29C and a number of very healthy young men were out on their feet in deciding sets. One of them was Mikhail Youzhny, who fell to a resurgent Olivier Rochus, the sole remaining qualifier in the draw. It recalled several of Youzhny’s recent losses, especially against Gilles Simon in Dubai, particularly in its looseness. As with so many attacking players, when the Russian’s form dips he grows ragged if too many balls come back. Today, conditions were slow, and Rochus ran his wee buns off. I haven’t watched Rochus play since he saw off Juan Martin del Potro’s aborted comeback in Bangkok last year, and as ever I was struck by how dynamic he is on court, how complete his repertoire is, and how assured his shot selection. One of my guilty pleasures used to be watching the diminutive Belgian give Marat Safin fits.

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The Whiff Of Gotterdammerung

Miami Masters 1000, Second Round

The seeds continued their jolly tumbling today at the Miami Masters 1000. Of the 32 who slugged their way past first round byes, 14 have failed to progress past actual opponents. As attrition goes, it’s hardly the Somme, but it’s the quality of the fallen more so than their volume that has caught the eye, and the relative minnows they’ve fallen to.

Cuevas d. Roddick, 6/4 7/6

Today’s big story was defending champion Andy Roddick going out in straight sets to Uruguay’s finest, Pablo Cuevas. There were mutterings that Roddick did not receive the home crowd support he might have hoped for, and that the majority in attendance were cheering for the other guy. The implication, if I read it aright, is that Miami has a large Uruguayan population, so it kind of sucks for Roddick that he ran into the only one in the top 400. Really, the crowd was the least of his worries. He was not well, too unwell even to properly harangue the officials when the opportunity inevitably arose (i.e. when he fell behind). To be fair, he tried, but without Fergus Murphy in the chair he simply couldn’t muster the rage.

Even had Roddick been healthy, it would have been a close run thing. Cuevas was striking the ball with rare authority, and serving with a muscular kick, especially to the ad court. I suspect a healthy Roddick would have gutsed out a win, but we’ll never know. He looked pretty disconsolate fronting the press afterwards, although he was more voluble than is often the case following a rough defeat. This was especially commendable given that he was the defending champion, and that he had to field endless queries about his health, well beyond the point at which he’d insisted there was nothing more to say. Losing today means shedding almost 1000 ranking points, which means he’ll plummet out of the top ten, landing somewhere around No.13, his lowest ranking since July, 2002. Remember that cool visor?

Federer d. Stepanek, 6/3 6/3

Nadal d. Nishikori, 6/4 6/4

Djokovic d. Istomin, 6/0 6/1

It is a testament to their astonishing consistency that neither Rafael Nadal nor Roger Federer ever succumb on days like this, when the whiff of Gotterdammerung perfumes the air, that noisome musk as the bodies of lesser gods pile up and go bad in the Miami heat. Federer hasn’t lost to anyone outside the top 100 in about six years, and Nadal in about four. Novak Djokovic is now looking similarly invincible: while Soderling struggled and Murray, befuddled, exited, the Serb notched up yet another 6/0 6/1 scoreline. These are happening so regularly that that single game conceded is coming to look like charity.

For those interested, Federer is sporting some swish new duds. It feels like years since he’s gone collarless in singles. I’m not sold on the peach wrist and head bands, but that shirt is splendid. It was brought up in his press conference today, and what little can be said about the choice of a tennis outfit was amply covered, including the news that it is a one-off for this tournament, and the vaguely depressing revelation that he picked it out a year and half ago. Federer also has some interesting things to say about the slowness of the Miami court, and the onerousness of daily media commitments. The transcript can be read here.

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Candles To The Sun

Miami Masters 1000, Second Round

Bogomolov Jnr d. Murray, 6/1 7/5

As he did last year, Andy Murray made it all the way to the second round in Miami, but no further. Today he fell in straight sets to Alex Bogomolov Jnr. He probably wouldn’t have troubled Bogomolov Snr, but at least he has defended his points. Indeed, if Robin Soderling loses before the quarterfinals – and he nearly did earlier – Murray will move back up to No.4, which tells you something about how closely ranking correlates to form. Really though, Murray was fortunate to survive the first round, notwithstanding the fact that he is seeded and had a bye. Nothing is a given right now. Statistics don’t always tell a story, or at least the right story, but in this case they are indicative: Murray committed 32 unforced errors – recall that his is a low risk game – and was broken in seven out of ten service games. Bogomolov’s career-high ranking of No.97 attests to his prowess on return. It is a nice question whether this loss will hurt more than the one to Donald Young in Indian Wells. It probably doesn’t matter. The prevailing view is that both results are candles to the sun when compared to the Australian Open final.

Widespread opinion is that it was his defeat to Novak Djokovic in Melbourne that propelled  the Scotsman into this lugubrious swan-dive down the form ladder. This assumption forms the foundation for the various theoretical and psychological edifices constructed atop it, the most common being that folding  to Djokovic was more traumatic than either of the two major finals against Roger Federer. The latter is a legend to whom there is no shame in losing, whilst the former is a peer and – until recently – a fellow member of the also-ran club. As explanations go, it sounds pat, which is a good reason to be suspicious of it. Is it actually right? How do we really know when a slump begins, or even why? Surely it is at least as accurate to say that Murray’s current woes began with the semifinal victory over David Ferrer. If we take a longer view still, we can see that he hasn’t exactly been captain reliable for some time now, hardly impressing against Alexandr Dolgopolov in Melbourne, or even against, say, Nicolas Mahut at the Hopman Cup. He was up and down at the World Tour Finals, and mostly down in the weeks prior, losing early to Monfils in Paris, Monaco in Valencia, and Ljubicic in Beijing. The shining exception was his frighteningly complete title run in Shanghai, where he trounced an in-form Federer with a thoroughness even Djokovic can only envy.

Anyone else in the top ten would immediately decamp to Europe – doubles be damned – praying that a change of surface might be just the ticket. Even Federer took that view last year. Unfortunately, the terre battue has never been Murray’s terrain of choice, and the kind of game it requires is  precisely the kind of game he now lacks the ticker for, as we say in Australia. Perhaps, like last year, he will turn things around on the grass, but it’s hardly guaranteed, and there are likely to be a lot of dud results before then.

Andujar d. Verdasco, 3/6 7/6 6/4

Granollers d. Wawrinka, 6/0 6/7 6/3

Still, Murray was hardly the only allegedly formidable player to go out today. Fernando Verdasco proved resourceful in overcoming a one set advantage, thereafter deploying double faults with the surgical precision of the Dresden firebombing. There was no live coverage, but I’m confirming reports that several of his double faults occurred in his opponent’s service game. As I say: resourceful. It was Pablo Andujar’s second ever hardcourt victory. Not to be outdone, Stanislas Warwrinka celebrated not having to face Federer in the quarterfinals by ensuring he won’t have to face anyone. The bagel was a deft touch.

It’s also worth mentioning that with Milos Raonic’s loss to Somdev Devvarman, the much-heralded next chapter of men’s tennis has been almost entirely expurgated from the Miami draw. Lest you’ve forgotten who I’m talking about, here are their names in no particular order: Bernard Tomic, Ricardas Berankis, Jack Sock, Grigor Dimitrov, Donald Young, Ryan Harrison, Ryan Sweeting. If they were an outlaw gang, they’d be called The Wildcards.

 

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Scary Canary

Miami Masters 1000, First Round

Del Potro d. Mello, 6/4 6/4

Insofar as anyone can look ominous in canary yellow, Juan Martin del Potro is looking ominous at the moment. Thankfully, he is, like Roger Federer, favouring Nike’s more appealing visually-dense yellows, as opposed to the lurid travesties lately unleashed by Lotto. And he is leagues from the sartorial train-wreck that adidas has inflicted Fernando Verdasco, an outfit that may take some attention away from what’s on his head, but sadly can’t help with whatever is happening in it. Then again, having chosen to look like a watermelon cross-bred with a swarthy pineapple, perhaps it is only fitting that the Spaniard plays like one.

Anyway, back to the ominous del Potro, who is looking so formidable not because he is producing consistently astounding tennis but because he is astoundingly consistent: he is beating everyone he should. This is about the last thing you can reasonably expect of a guy returning from a career-threatening injury. Indeed, he is making the comeback trail look considerably smoother and straighter than he has any right to, since it’s mostly fashioned from loose shale, skirts any number of precipices and snakes through the odd minefield. There are plenty of opportunities to misstep. I can hardly recall a player stepping so suavely or surely.

He was ranked No.484 as recently as six weeks ago. At the time I hazarded the amazingly controversial opinion that this ranking was not a true reflection of his ability. My views, tentatively proffered, were met with howls of indifference, but I now stand vindicated. Following his semifinal run at Indian Wells last week, he looms on the cusp of the top fifty. I’m willing to stick my neck out again, and suggest that with zero points to defend he may go even higher after Miami. Take that to the bank. If, like last week, del Potro navigates another quarter of death – including Philip Kohlschrieber and Robin Soderling back-to-back – he will return to the top thirty.

Anderson d. Davydenko, 6/4 6/3

If that happens, he will pass Nikolay Davydenko, who proved so utterly impenetrable when the two last met in the season finale’s final back in 2009. Davydenko improved his ranking by about three spots in losing to Kevin Anderson today: he too has no points to defend. As a former Miami champion, he presumably had plenty of pride at stake, but whatever existential malaise is now afflicting the Russian has grown so consuming that pride wasn’t sufficient to get it done. Davydenko’s wrist injury was nothing like as severe as del Potro’s, yet in some way that no one has yet fathomed, it appears it was much, much worse. For so rare and gifted a player, one who has ever been denied his due, this strikes me as a surpassing shame.

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Great Matches You’ve Probably Never Heard Of #5

Paris Masters, 2000, Final

Safin d. Philippoussis, 3/6 7/6 6/4 3/6 7/6

Scanning the long list of champion tennis players in the Open Era, I note many whose achievements are qualified by an asterisk, and that not all asterisks are created equal. Some are benign blobs, like knobs of coral, and tell you little, merely that this or that player’s opponent defaulted in a final, or that they won a gold medal in doubles whilst partnering Roger Federer. Other asterisks, however, are nasty,  festooned with wicked hooks and cruel serrations. Almost exclusively, these vicious little bastards are reserved for colossally skilled athletes who have wasted their talents. There is a special place reserved in the tennis underworld for those who could have been so much more, even if they were usually lucky not to be less. Andre Agassi’s second career, with its monk-like austerity and cloying modesty, was a sustained and ultimately successful attempt to escape his fate. Andy Murray had better get his act together. As for David Nalbandian . . . well, tick-tock.

On this list of champions, no names boast more fearsome asterisks than Marat Safin and Mark Philippoussis. Regardless of their achievements, which are not inconsiderable, they could have done much more. There are any number of broad similarities to be drawn between the two, who were friends on the tour, and appear still to be. Both were large men, topping 6’4’’, and outstanding athletes. Safin was the superior mover, and was better off the ground, while Philippoussis had a more terrifying serve and more aptitude around the net. When either was on, he was unplayable. Indeed, each announced his arrival by proving unplayable for the great Pete Sampras; Philippoussis at the 1996 Australian Open, Safin at the 2000 US Open. Philippoussis, by four years the senior, had to contend with living through the Sampras Era. Safin chose his heyday even less wisely, and his regular and occasionally heroic losses to Federer are an important part of why so little of his potential was realised.

Nonetheless, Federer was a part of why, but he wasn’t all of it. Safin was a bigger part of it. All too often, especially in that long twilight following the 2005 Australian Open – a beautiful sunset we all mistook for a dawn – he would fall in ridiculous fashion several rounds before a top opponent could lend the defeat some credibility. By 2007, Safin’s losses were no longer upsets, even for his fans, who would join the giant Russian in gazing skyward, muttering darkly as they probed the heavens for answers. Injury of course played its part, and it played an even bigger one for Philippoussis, for whom pro tennis was only ever one of a number of hobbies he squeezed into an otherwise unremitting schedule of knee surgeries and surfing.

Back in the autumn of 2000, this all lay even further in the future. The Australian was on one of his early comeback trails, harnessing the form that led him to a US Open final, and to capturing the Davis Cup the year before. Safin was still very much bursting though. His demolition of Sampras at Flushing Meadows remained fresh in the mind, and to casual fans he looked for all the world like a tennis robot sent back from some alternative future dystopia. It was a future that didn’t seem far off, since by winning the Paris Indoors, Safin would capture the No.1 ranking, presumably as a prelude to taking it out the back and having it shot. He had dismissed the talented Juan Carlos Ferrero 6/2 6/2 in the semifinal, swatting a mosquito. For his part, Philippoussis had overcome the popular and incongruously-shorn Gustavo Kuerten in a pair of tiebreaks. Both the big men had come to play.

And so they played, and they played a classic. Some notes from the match:

  • Other than double faults and aces (which were equal), Philippoussis proved superior in every statistical category, right down to total points won (165-153). He broke more times, and won more points both serving and returning. An elegant illustration that some points really are more important than others: Safin won the last point of the match.
  • The knife-edge second set tiebreak is outstanding, among the finest I’ve ever seen.
  • If people remember anything from this match, it tends to be Safin’s spectacular wound at 3/3 in the third, when he dives for a volley, only to have his racquet bounce off the court and gouge a chunk from his brow. There is an extended medical break as he is patched up on court. Philippoussis predictably loses focus, and yields the decisive break in the following game. After the match, Safin asks to cut short the presentation so that he can rush to hospital.
  • The Australian’s intensity skyrockets as the fourth set gets underway, which you can only surmise from watching his play, and certainly not from his body language or face, which remains as placid as ever. He commences a series of dynamic chip-charges on Safin’s second serves, almost breaking in the second game. It pays off in the sixth game, as he breaks to love.
  • Philippoussis was not considered a great volleyer in his day, yet by today’s standards he seems downright virtuosic. It is startling to see the drop volley be used sparingly – even appropriately – rather than exclusively.
  • The fifth set tiebreak is predictably high on drama, with Philippoussis saving five match points, including three in a row from 3-6 down. Several of the those points are on Safin’s racquet, and his arm looks leaden as the shots spray wide.

Watching the match again, for the first time since it aired live, I’m struck by how accurate my memories of it are, which is by no means the norm. The only thing missing is the blanket of foreboding that settled around me as the fifth set wore down, and Philippoussis eked out grim holds to attain the supposed succour of the tiebreak. I suppose I must have been a fan at the time, although the sensation has long since evaporated.

The other thing it brought back to me is something I didn’t notice at the time, but which grew familiar to all tennis fans over the following decade, which is that scowl Safin would acquire as the weight of the boulder on his back grew crushing. His capacity to be personally affronted by circumstances realistically beyond his control was infinite, and essential. On court, a sense of proportion was the last thing he had. Later, it would cost him countless victories. At the Paris Indoors in 2000, it didn’t, barely.

The full match can be downloaded here.

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An Imperial Victory

Indian Wells, Final

Djokovic d. Nadal, 4/6 6/3 6/2

Is it fitting, or merely coincidental, that the last two men to defeat Novak Djokovic in a tennis match were Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal? Perhaps it’s both, or maybe it doesn’t matter. The losses occurred last November, at the O2 Arena, but they feel like ancient history, as though they happened in the Colosseum. Not the ruined one, mind you; the original one, the one in Gladiator, that film in which Russel Crowe embodies a Spaniard so convincingly that he has to be referred to as The Spaniard, and visits on the Roman Empire a level of ferocity usually reserved for recalcitrant concierges. Today Nadal was more believably Spanish, but otherwise fell short of replicating Crowe’s endeavours. El guerrero imparable fue detenido.

He was stopped, of course, by Novak Djokovic, who has now won something like 20 consecutive matches (counting the Davis Cup, but excluding the Hopman, as the cognoscenti are wont to do). An imperial victory today delivered the Serbian his sixth Masters 1000 title, recovering from a set down, and romping home in the decider. He looked exactly like the best player in the world on hardcourt. It was a particularly slow and bouncy hardcourt, it’s true, but he still looked like the best player on it.

Nadal and Djokovic present an intriguing match-up, one that I am generally determined to savour. Like Andy Murray and Juan Martin del Potro, the Serbian’s exceptional double-fisted backhand largely negates Nadal’s great strength, which is the humming, curled forehand rearing at the right-hander’s left shoulder, forcing them into a lateral stretch and a literal retreat: back and across, until he puts you away. Boasting the kind of technique that can withstand the many thousands of RPMs Nadal inspires on the ball, Djokovic stands his ground, even redirecting those balls up the line. Thus limited, Nadal is compelled to expand his game and improvise, to seek alternative means of spreading the court. He is good enough to do it, and watching him figure it out is where the interest lies.

Having said that, as determined as I am to enjoy the match-up, I invariably don’t. It is very disappointing, much like reclining on the couch to watch the big game with a bag of pretzels, and then realising that you don’t much care for pretzels. Their’s is a rivalry that for sheer volume surpasses Nadal-Federer, yet there have been almost no outstanding matches, and I have forgotten neither the overrated US Open final of 2010, nor the allegedly epic encounter in Madrid, in which an entire suite of commercials could be aired between each point. They play slow, but that’s hardly the issue. The real issue is that they rarely play well for long at the same time.

So it proved again today. Nadal was excellent in the first set. Djokovic was superb in the last, which is obviously when it matters most. Both underwhelmed in the second, although by serving at 25% Nadal ensured he would win the race to the bottom. For a wonder, Nadal didn’t rebound the way he usually does. It’s worth remembering that only days ago he scrapped home against Ivo Karlovic by the narrowest of margins. Indeed, it should be borne in mind that Nadal hasn’t claimed a title since Tokyo last year, and that the highest ranked player he has beaten this year is Marin Cilic, whose ranking week-to-week only bears a tangential relationship to form or ability.

Nevertheless, the clay season is mere weeks away. Nadal has a phenomenal number of points to defend, but who is willing to bet he won’t defend most of them? Djokovic may be the master of the hardcourts, but we’re about to be reminded what surface dominance really is. By the time The Spaniard returns to Rome, he may be, once more, unstoppable.

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Second Comes Right After First

Indian Wells, Semifinal

Djokovic d. Federer, 6/3 3/6 6/2

By defeating Roger Federer in the second of today’s Indian Wells semifinals, Novak Djokovic regained the No.2 ranking. Tomorrow he will face world No.1 Rafael Nadal in the final. If Nadal wins, it would be his first title since Tokyo last September, and his first Masters 1000 victory since Madrid in May. For Djokovic, however, it will be his first Masters title since the Paris Indoors in November 2009, which is also the last time he progressed to the final round. In other words, there’s plenty at stake.

I’ve suggested recently that the numerous Djokovic-Federer encounters – eight of them since Wimbledon last year, split evenly – have showcased every possible permutation of their respective abilities, except the one that matters most. We have not seen them both performing at their peaks for a whole match. After today, I suspect we won’t, because they can’t. Federer’s game is built around near-relentless attack, while Djokovic’s rests upon spectacular defensive movement and the saintly patience with which he continually resets each point. When both are operating at full throttle, it makes for some spectacular points – there were some jaw-droppers today – but it cannot be sustained. Something usually gives, and then something else does. Their matches are invariably marked by sudden and definitive momentum shifts. Again, today was no different.

A great deal depends on the conditions. On a fast court, Federer’s offence gains a serrated edge. On a slower court, the edge is merely ragged, and Djokovic grows increasingly impenetrable. It isn’t the whole story, but no synopsis would be complete without it. Indeed, it is revealing that today’s result is a near-mirror of last November’s Basel final, which Federer won 6/4 3/6 6/1. That was a fast indoor court, momentum oscillated dramatically, and Djokovic fell apart in the final set. Today the reverse occurred. Federer had seemingly wrested back control when he broke to love early in the third, then moved swiftly to 40-15 on serve. From there, he never looked in it. As with his opponent in Basel, Djokovic did little to impress in the closing stages, and indeed was nearly broken while serving for it. Nonetheless, Federer was by now too frustrated for a fightback, and it was Djokovic pummeling his chest and roaring sweet everythings at the crowd some minutes later.

This sense of frustration is worth dwelling on, for it unlocks the issue. Rather too much is made of unforced errors – Federer himself has always been more willing to commit them than ruminate on them – especially their perceived equivalence to winners. The relationship is vaguely indicative on an industrial scale – say, across a season – but is generally worse than useless within the scope of a given match. Federer hit something like 15 unforced errors in the first set today, which suggests that his level was poor, although it wasn’t. Few of those errors came early in the point. Most came at the end of protracted exchanges, in which Federer would repeatedly probe the lines and corners, only to have the ball reappear up the centre of the court and land within a yard or two of the baseline, with his opponent flowing smoothly back into position. Federer wasn’t trying to hit winners with these shots, but he was trying to maneuver Djokovic out of position. In tennis parlance, he was trying to gain ‘progress’, playing slightly within himself. Djokovic was a wall, however, and Federer’s margins evaporated as he vainly sought any opening. Having to operate at that level is demanding, and mentally exhausting. By this reckoning, it’s unfair to even call these errors unforced. Whatever they were, they earned Djokovic the first set in short order, and really bore fruit later in the third, once Federer fell decisively behind.

The second set saw an adjustment from the Swiss, ironically because Djokovic began to up his pace after sweeping so effortlessly through the first. Forced to defend, Federer began to employ far greater variety. Djokovic has never been especially impressed when Federer comes over his backhand, but the slice is a more wily beast. It is arguably the finest slice in the game today – one of the few worthy of the name – and forces Djokovic into choices he doesn’t like to make. Invited to attack, he opens himself to counter-attack. He must generate his own pace, which he can do, but would prefer not to have to. Suddenly the gaps that Federer had striven so mightily and fruitlessly to create were there in abundance. For the rest of the set, Federer flowed into them, romping home with a couple of breaks.

The third set reprised the rhythms of the first, but altogether sloppier. Djokovic returned to his defensive play, but was nowhere near as decisive, and Federer, sadly emboldened, went back to attempting to hit through his opponent. The set featured 16 unforced errors from the Swiss, but now they were happening nearer the beginning of the point. They were truly unforced. It is hard to avoid the conclusion that Federer got this match tactically wrong, and that his Annacone-inspired ‘new’ aggression has come at the cost of his essential variety. This isn’t to say that a workable balance isn’t possible – there was an excellent chip-charge late in the match – but that Federer needs to recognise that outside of a few select hardcourts, Djokovic just cannot be hit through. He is simply moves too fast, too beautifully, and never misses. They sound like worthy attributes for a new world No.2.

The full match, and many others from this tournament, can be downloaded here.

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Doubles Is Cool

Every form of human endeavour falls prey to loopy fashions from time to time, and tennis is hardly exempt. Some trends – like garish headbands or Feliciano Lopez – are destined not to last. Others endure. Think of piss-weak commentary and inside-out forehands. Those are forever, the very furniture of the sport. Only time well tell if the latest craze sweeping Indian Wells will catch on: a top player deals a lesser compatriot a stern hiding, before then taking him under his wing for a therapeutic doubles match later in the day. The ball commenced rolling some days ago, when Novak Djokovic thrashed Viktor Troicki love and one (a bagel-breadstick combination much favoured by the senior Serbian this week), whereupon they embraced heartily and paired up, only to go down, humiliatingly, to some actual doubles players.

Today it was Roger Federer’s turn, registering another routine quarterfinal victory over Stanislas Wawrinka, before the Swiss pair fronted up for the most anticipated doubles match of recent times, against defending champions Rafael Nadal and Marc Lopez. Sadly for the cool-hunters praying this malarkey might catch on, and thus justify the fact that cool-hunting is even a thing, Nadal had not hammered Lopez in singles earlier that day, although given the way Nadal’s draw has panned out this week, it wouldn’t have been entirely out of the question. For the record, the Swiss team won. The commentators are fond of declaring that they play a ‘traditional form of doubles’, which is patently false. The full-time doubles teams play a traditional form of doubles, which is why there are none remaining in the tournament. Federer and Wawrinka play like top singles players who can volley, which is why they’re in the final.

At a change of ends in the second set the organisers unleashed the Kiss Cam, proving once more that there is nothing people can’t be induced to do, so long as they are commanded to via a Jumbotron. Last night a bold but plain lad proposed marriage via the big screen, a move of surpassing cheesiness that was hardly out of place in Southern California. I’m sure months from now as they thrash out their divorce, they will look back fondly at the moment when he ambushed her in front of 10,000 roaring strangers. (Jumbotron obsession was a phenomenon brought home to me whilst attending an NBA game in Boston one year, at which a zero-intensity crowd would periodically erupt whenever the words ‘Go Crazy’ flashed across the big screen. For the chance to be shown, people were duly and actually going crazy, capering and gibbering like lunatics, until the time out ended, and they returned to their erstwhile somnolence.) Perhaps Miami, not to be outdone, will deploy a Nipple-slip Cam, or a Lobotomise Yourself With A Hacksaw Cam. What price ‘fame’?

Commentary gem of the day: ‘He looks like a sword fighter out there. It looks like the racquet’s part of his hand.’

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